Winter Outlook 2014-2015

We all remember last year’s record setting winter with seemingly endless piles of snow. Our meteorologists worked around the clock creating Storm Alerts and analyzing Certified Snowfall Totals™ as major Northeast cities accumulated a snowfall surplus of 15 – 30+ inches. In fact, Philadelphia recorded their 2nd snowiest winter of all time with 68.0″ and New York’s Central Park finished with 57.4″, the 5th snowiest. Along with the snow, frigid temperatures dominated, with places like Hartford, CT seeing 44 days of at or below freezing temperatures. Coming off such a brutal winter, will this season continue the onslaught of cold and snow or will milder weather make a return?

Well for those looking for a balmy winter, you’re out of luck. While late October/early November may be rather mild overall, the main theme for the 2014-15 season will be the cold. Almost all of the past winters with similar characteristics to the expected pattern this year have featured below normal cold. These years include 1976-77, 1977-78, and 1993-94. Supporting the cold is an overall negative Arctic Oscillation (AO) this October, which is expected to continue through much of the upcoming winter (see AO guidance below). With a typically -AO, expect pieces of the famous polar vortex to break off from time to time, flooding the Midwest and Northeast with arctic air.

Winter Outlook 2014-2015 - Blog - Troy Clogg Landscape Associates, LLC. - AO_Index_Forecast

Graph courtesy of Kyle MacRitchie/

So we have the cold, what about the snow? This is a bit more tricky as the analog years aren’t as clear cut. However, what we do know is a weak El Niño will be favored, which will create an active southern jet stream and increased moisture flow across the southern US. Meanwhile, frequent, energetic disturbances will be favored along the northern stream due to the arctic outbreaks. These two active jets will provide a higher likelihood of “phasing” of the two branches, which may lead to multiple threats from nor’easters in the East. Snow lovers may not have to wait long either, with these coastal threats more favored in December. While snowy patterns will still be around into January and February, the axis of more frequent snow will gradually shift into the Ohio Valley and Midwest.

The maps below are based on a combination of factors listed above, along with modifications to account for atmospheric teleconnection patterns. A list of take-away points for the 2014 -2015 season are listed below. If you want more detailed information on the upcoming winter, contact our Sales Department and learn about Winter Risk™.

Winter Outlook 2014-2015 - Blog - Troy Clogg Landscape Associates, LLC. - Dual2014-15WinterMap

Expected Temperature and Precipitation Trends


  • November will begin rather mild with the cold air locked in over the Upper Midwest, but December makes an abrupt switch to below normal temperatures in the Northeast
  • The cold expands in January, with a higher risk of a prolonged arctic outbreak
  • The heart of the cold air shifts into the Midwest for February into March, but most of the Northeast continues with a higher than normal risk for below normal readings


  • Active weather pattern will provide numerous storm threats for the Mid-Atlantic into southern New England – with December the most likely month for “The Big One”
  • Snow threats push further south into the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic for January and February, which may keep New England drier – Midwest has a higher likelihood of significant snow
  • Late season snowfalls will be favored in March and even into April, extending the winter for snow lovers

(original article link:

The Salt Story... 2018/19 Shortage?

As I sit here enjoying a beautiful 80 degree day in mid July, it’s ironic to be talking about salt.  Actually, if you are in the “salt business”or are a snow contractor or property manager it’s late to be talking about...

Buried Alive (Improper Tree Planting)

Improper tree planting is without a doubt the main reason for the decline and death of trees. And the #1 mistake that causes the most problems in the Improper Tree Planting category is . . .    . . . “WHAT, are the roots being planted too...

How much should snow plowing cost for my home? Hmm...

This is a question that is commonly asked. What we can say is it certainly depends on the site. If you are a homeowner with a driveway and or sidewalk that needs to be cleared we, TCSA, may not be able to help you. Although we built our business over 3 decades ago working with and helping residential homeowners, we have found that the rate most are willing to pay does not allow us to employ the best and most educated team and drive the safest and best maintained vehicles, thus we are not the "cheap" guy for this work. However, to answer the question clearly we would suggest that the "average " driveway in the "average " snowfall in the Detroit area or any snow region that had a 40 to 60 inch total average winter should be at least $100.00 / per visit. Any person who invests tens of thousands of dollars for a truck, plow, insurance and more than works crazy unpredictable hours risking being sued warrants a fair and equitable return on their risks. -Troy Clogg

Why Did You Choose Snow & Landscape? Was It Your Father's Business First?

Well, I choose the industry, because the harder I worked the more I made, the more I made the sooner I could move out of my parents’ home and become self-sufficient. It's really no more than that. I tried college, actually a couple of them. Not for me. See, ever since I was young I believed that time and money should be viewed as an "investment" one that should get you where you want to be as soon as possible and with as much joy as possible along the journey.

Why Do Salt Prices Vary So Greatly?!

Now this is a question we may not be able to perfectly answer, but we will try.  The story goes like this. There are a limited number of salt suppliers in our region. It's important to know that the transportation...

Why are our plows pink?

Simple answer... because we care ! If you choose to read our painted picture you will find many answers and details..... most importantly and the one that runs through all that we do is: We...

TCSA is officially ISO Certified

On November 23, 2015 Troy Clogg Snow Associates was officially certified to the ISO9001:2008 standard. We at TCSA are overjoyed to serve our customers even better, through the distinct and documented processes this certification requires. While we...

ACLA Legislation Day

On September 16th, members from The Accredited Snow Contractors Association and MGIA lobbied for legislation that would improve conditions regarding the insurability of snow contractors.  Rising insurance costs due to unfair indemnification and...

TCLA propels towards ISO Certification

SNOW INDUSTRY LEADERS MEET AT SNOWFIGHTERS INSTITUTE TO PROPEL THEIR BUSINESS LEARNING ISO SN9001 -TROY CLOGG LANDSCAPE ASSOCIATES, LLC. employee Beth Savastano attends with snow industry leaders of snow and ice management companies from all over...

Chad Hymas Keynote

Chad Hymas Keynote Chad Hymas was the keynote speaker at this year’s MGIA tradeshow and convention on March 3. Chad is the owner of a landscape business as well as the owner and operator of an elk ranch. He was injured in 2002 when a...

ISO 9001/SN9001 Certification – PRESS RELEASE

For Immediate Release Troy Clogg Landscape Associates Certified in ISO 9001/SN9001 Wixom, MI—November 24, 2015—Troy Clogg Landscape Associates, a renowned metro Detroit snow removal and landscaping company, announced today it has...

Salt Shortage… WHY? What you can do to cope!

When the opportunity arose to write an article about a topic I have built the last 30 years is not my best attribute, but I am very passionate about this subject and I hope that by sharing, you will find and apply a nugget or two of information and...

Surging Salt Prices Could Cripple Winter Roadways

If last winter’s weather seemed like extreme punishment for much of the United States, experts said it will pale in comparison to the winter of 2014–2015. That’s because not only is a harsher than normal season predicted, but there...

Road salt costing Palatine more this year

For Palatine residents, last winter’s titanic amounts of ice and snow may be a bad memory, but the winter is still having an effect on the village’s budget. The village council on Monday night approved the purchase of 3,000 tons of...

St. Charles to pay $206K more for road rock salt

ST. CHARLES – The city of St. Charles this year will pay more for its road rock salt than in previous years because of widespread depleted salt supplies. The St. Charles City Council on Monday voted, 10-0, in favor of purchasing 7,000 tons...
Page: 12 - All